Innovation, Change and Lobbying

That is what real revolutions are like. The old stuff gets broken faster than the new stuff is put in its place. Clay Shirky, Newspapers and Thinking the Unthinkable, March 2009 Different people draw different conclusions about law-making from this type of problem. For some, we cannot reasonably hope to understand the consequences of law or regulation in a fast-moving world, so we should avoid trying. (Though those who argue that we be slow to apply the antitrust rules in these areas, may also be the same people who argue for the introduction of software patents. What’s sauce for the goose is often not sauce for the gander.) At the 2009 Fordham antitrust conference, John Fingleton, the CEO of the UK’s Office of Fair Trading, asked the Commission’s Chief Economist, Damien Neven, whether there was a danger in drawing conclusions about innovative changes to markets on the basis of the marginal evidence that would be all that would be available. The context was a debate about the application of the antitrust laws to vertical restraints that affect online trading: should we be more concerned than we currently are about limitations on online commerce. Leaving aside the specific question for the moment, the real problem with a simple “stay out of it” line, is that it takes the status quo – both in terms of law and markets – as the default state. That might be fine if breaking the status quo were easy. I suspect it’s not: We must bear in mind, then, that there is nothing more difficult and dangerous, or more doubtful of success, than an attempt...